論文（設(shè)計(jì)）題目（此論文共17858字）
Title Of Thesis（Design） 對(duì)當(dāng)前中國(guó)匯率變動(dòng)與物價(jià)變動(dòng)的關(guān)系的探索
專(zhuān)　　業(yè)
Speciality 國(guó)際經(jīng)濟(jì)與貿(mào)易
摘要
匯率是兩國(guó)貨幣之間兌換的比例，物價(jià)是商品價(jià)值的貨幣表現(xiàn)，經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的一般理論認(rèn)為匯率上漲會(huì)帶來(lái)通貨緊縮，但我國(guó)當(dāng)前的現(xiàn)狀是匯率和物價(jià)同時(shí)上漲。匯率上調(diào)是國(guó)內(nèi)外雙重因素造成的。國(guó)內(nèi)，經(jīng)濟(jì)高速發(fā)展，根據(jù)平價(jià)購(gòu)買(mǎi)力理論得出人民幣購(gòu)買(mǎi)力被低估，因此人民幣有升值的趨勢(shì)；在國(guó)際市場(chǎng)中，對(duì)人民幣升值的要求主要源于中國(guó)巨大的貿(mào)易順差，為了平衡國(guó)際貿(mào)易人民幣匯率也必然要上調(diào)。基于這兩方面原因，人民幣升值是必然的。通過(guò)對(duì)近20年GDP超過(guò)11%的幾個(gè)年限的相關(guān)價(jià)格指數(shù)的對(duì)比分析，可以看出中國(guó)現(xiàn)在尚不存在經(jīng)濟(jì)過(guò)熱的現(xiàn)象，中國(guó)物價(jià)的上漲只是由于房?jī)r(jià)的上漲和食品價(jià)格的上漲所帶動(dòng)的，不具有普遍性。因此，我國(guó)現(xiàn)在匯率和物價(jià)的關(guān)系，并沒(méi)有違背經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的一般原理。借鑒日本匯率變動(dòng)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)影響的經(jīng)驗(yàn)，我國(guó)應(yīng)當(dāng)通過(guò)控制匯率實(shí)現(xiàn)匯率與物價(jià)之間平穩(wěn)發(fā)展的目標(biāo)。
關(guān)鍵詞： 消費(fèi)者物價(jià)指數(shù) 國(guó)際收支順差 購(gòu)買(mǎi)力平價(jià) 匯率風(fēng)險(xiǎn)
To current Chinese exchange rate change and price change relations exploration
Abstract:
Exchange rate is the proportion that both countries exchanges between currency. The currency being commodity value shows prices. The economics sort theory thinks that exchange rate goes up may bring about deflation, but the current situation of our country is that exchange rate and prices go up at the same time. Home and abroad is the main factor that bring about the raising exchange rate. Economy develops at top speed in the homeland, purchasing power theory reaches RMB purchasing power according to fair price being underestimated, RMB trend having appreciation therefore; The request in international market, appreciating to RMB originates from gigantic active balance of Chinese mainly , needs to move up also surely for the exchange rates for the Renminbi against other currencies balancing international trade. Owing to this cause in two aspects, RMB appreciates is inevitable. Through surpasses 11% several fixed numbers of years to nearly 20 year GDP the related price indices contrast analysis, China now still did not have the economical excessively hot phenomenon, The Chinese price rise only is because the house price rise and food price rise. It does not have the universality Therefore, our country exchange rate now composes in reply the prices relation , does not go against the economics sort principle. Using Japan exchange rate for reference changing the experience affecting to economy, our country ought to realize the target developing stably between exchange rate and prices by controlling exchange rate.
Key words: Consumer Price Index Favorable balance of payments Purchasing power parity Exchange rate risk
目錄
引言 ……………………………………………………………………………………………1
一、關(guān)于匯率和物價(jià)的基本概念和原理 ………………………………………………………1
（一）匯率的基本概念 ………………………………………………………………………1
（二）物價(jià)的基本概念 ………………………………………………………………………2
（三）匯率變動(dòng)與物價(jià)變動(dòng)的一般關(guān)系原理 ………………………………………………3
二、當(dāng)前中國(guó)匯率變動(dòng)與物價(jià)變動(dòng)的關(guān)系 ……………………………………………………4
（一）中國(guó)匯率變動(dòng)與物價(jià)變動(dòng)的現(xiàn)狀 ……………………………………………………4
1．匯率變動(dòng)的現(xiàn)狀…………………………………………………………………………4
2．物價(jià)變動(dòng)的現(xiàn)狀…………………………………………………………………………5
3．結(jié)論………………………………………………………………………………………7
（二）中國(guó)匯率變動(dòng)與物價(jià)變動(dòng)的原因 ……………………………………………………9
1．中國(guó)匯率變動(dòng)的原因……………………………………………………………………9
2．中國(guó)物價(jià)變動(dòng)的原因……………………………………………………………………10
三、匯率變動(dòng)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)影響的國(guó)際借鑒 …………………………………………………………11
（一）20世紀(jì)80年代日元匯率的變動(dòng)情況以及對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響……………………………11
（二）借鑒日企經(jīng)驗(yàn)，積極應(yīng)對(duì)人民幣升值 ………………………………………………13
四、利用匯率控制物價(jià)的方法及實(shí)現(xiàn)匯率與物價(jià)平穩(wěn)發(fā)展的途徑 …………………………16
（一）利用匯率控制物價(jià)的方法 ……………………………………………………………16
（二）實(shí)現(xiàn)匯率與物價(jià)平穩(wěn)發(fā)展的途徑 ……………………………………………………16
1．我國(guó)企業(yè)的應(yīng)對(duì)方法……………………………………………………………………17
2．我國(guó)人民銀行的應(yīng)對(duì)方法………………………………………………………………17
3．我國(guó)商業(yè)銀行的應(yīng)對(duì)方法………………………………………………………………17
4．我國(guó)外匯管理部門(mén)的應(yīng)對(duì)方法…………………………………………………………18
結(jié)論 ………………………………………………………………………………………………19
致謝語(yǔ) ……………………………………………………………………………………………20
參考文獻(xiàn) …………………………………………………………………………………………21