本科生畢業(yè)論文——河南省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的因素分析（附開題報告）


摘　要

本文收集了河南省近年來經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的有關(guān)經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)，通過建立河南省的柯布-道格拉斯生產(chǎn)函數(shù)，運用計量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)模型，在傳統(tǒng)的研究經(jīng)濟(jì)增長只考察資本因素和勞動力因素的基礎(chǔ)上，增加了制度因素、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)因素和所有制結(jié)構(gòu)因素來考察河南省的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長。分析結(jié)果表明：河南省的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長主要是依靠生產(chǎn)要素，尤其是資本要素的大量投入來取得的，并且產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整對河南省的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長有著正向的影響，但這種影響力不斷趨弱。我們得到的政策啟示是：我們應(yīng)積極推進(jìn)體制、機(jī)制創(chuàng)新和技術(shù)進(jìn)步，實施人才戰(zhàn)略，調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)，加強(qiáng)區(qū)域協(xié)調(diào)，優(yōu)化投資環(huán)境，轉(zhuǎn)變增長方式，推動經(jīng)濟(jì)社會切實轉(zhuǎn)入科學(xué)發(fā)展的軌道。

關(guān)鍵詞：產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)； 區(qū)域結(jié)構(gòu)； 所有制結(jié)構(gòu)；河南省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長
 

Abstract
Collected the economic data of the recent economic development of Henan Province, through the establishment of Henan Province Cobb - Douglas production function, the use of econometric models, economic growth in the traditional research only investigated on the basis of the factors of capital and labor factors, increased institutional factors, the factors of industrial structure and ownership structure factors to examine the economic growth in Henan Province. The results show that: Henan Province's economic growth was mainly rely on factors of production, especially the large number of inputs of capital elements to obtain, and industrial restructuring has a positive impact on economic growth in Henan Province, but this influence is constantly weakening. Policy Implications: We should actively promote institutional mechanisms innovation and technological progress implementing the strategic adjustment of industrial structure, strengthen regional coordination and optimize investment environment, change the mode of growth, promote economic and social effectively transferred to the track of scientific development.
Key Words: Venture investment；Scientific development；Diversification Economic growth  of Henan Province
 
目 錄
引 言 1
（一）選題背景及意義 1
（二）文獻(xiàn)綜述 1
（三）文章結(jié)構(gòu) 2
一、河南省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長現(xiàn)狀 2
（一）河南省經(jīng)濟(jì)總量與發(fā)展速度 2
（二）城鄉(xiāng)二元經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu) 3
（三）產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的發(fā)展?fàn)顩r 4
二、河南省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長因素的實證分析 5
（一）影響河南省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的因素 5
1.投入因素 5
2.制度因素 5
3.產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)因素 6
4.區(qū)域結(jié)構(gòu)因素 6
（二）經(jīng)濟(jì)增長因素的數(shù)量分析 6
1.模型的建立及分析 6
2.估計模型的分析 8
3.不同時期各種因素變化對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長貢獻(xiàn)率的分析 8
三、結(jié)論及政策建議 10
（一）結(jié)論 10
1.高投入、低效率的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長現(xiàn)狀 10
2.所有制結(jié)構(gòu)對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的邊際影響力趨弱 11
3.產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的邊際影響力在遞減 11
4.區(qū)域結(jié)構(gòu)對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的正向作用不斷強(qiáng)化 11
（二）政策及建議 11
參考文獻(xiàn) 13
致 謝 14