本科生畢業(yè)論文——河南省經(jīng)濟增長的因素分析（附開題報告）


摘　要

本文收集了河南省近年來經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的有關經(jīng)濟數(shù)據(jù)，通過建立河南省的柯布-道格拉斯生產(chǎn)函數(shù)，運用計量經(jīng)濟學模型，在傳統(tǒng)的研究經(jīng)濟增長只考察資本因素和勞動力因素的基礎上，增加了制度因素、產(chǎn)業(yè)結構因素和所有制結構因素來考察河南省的經(jīng)濟增長。分析結果表明：河南省的經(jīng)濟增長主要是依靠生產(chǎn)要素，尤其是資本要素的大量投入來取得的，并且產(chǎn)業(yè)結構調整對河南省的經(jīng)濟增長有著正向的影響，但這種影響力不斷趨弱。我們得到的政策啟示是：我們應積極推進體制、機制創(chuàng)新和技術進步，實施人才戰(zhàn)略，調整產(chǎn)業(yè)結構，加強區(qū)域協(xié)調，優(yōu)化投資環(huán)境，轉變增長方式，推動經(jīng)濟社會切實轉入科學發(fā)展的軌道。

關鍵詞：產(chǎn)業(yè)結構； 區(qū)域結構； 所有制結構；河南省經(jīng)濟增長
 

Abstract
Collected the economic data of the recent economic development of Henan Province, through the establishment of Henan Province Cobb - Douglas production function, the use of econometric models, economic growth in the traditional research only investigated on the basis of the factors of capital and labor factors, increased institutional factors, the factors of industrial structure and ownership structure factors to examine the economic growth in Henan Province. The results show that: Henan Province's economic growth was mainly rely on factors of production, especially the large number of inputs of capital elements to obtain, and industrial restructuring has a positive impact on economic growth in Henan Province, but this influence is constantly weakening. Policy Implications: We should actively promote institutional mechanisms innovation and technological progress implementing the strategic adjustment of industrial structure, strengthen regional coordination and optimize investment environment, change the mode of growth, promote economic and social effectively transferred to the track of scientific development.
Key Words: Venture investment；Scientific development；Diversification Economic growth  of Henan Province
 
目 錄
引 言 1
（一）選題背景及意義 1
（二）文獻綜述 1
（三）文章結構 2
一、河南省經(jīng)濟增長現(xiàn)狀 2
（一）河南省經(jīng)濟總量與發(fā)展速度 2
（二）城鄉(xiāng)二元經(jīng)濟結構 3
（三）產(chǎn)業(yè)結構的發(fā)展狀況 4
二、河南省經(jīng)濟增長因素的實證分析 5
（一）影響河南省經(jīng)濟增長的因素 5
1.投入因素 5
2.制度因素 5
3.產(chǎn)業(yè)結構因素 6
4.區(qū)域結構因素 6
（二）經(jīng)濟增長因素的數(shù)量分析 6
1.模型的建立及分析 6
2.估計模型的分析 8
3.不同時期各種因素變化對經(jīng)濟增長貢獻率的分析 8
三、結論及政策建議 10
（一）結論 10
1.高投入、低效率的經(jīng)濟增長現(xiàn)狀 10
2.所有制結構對經(jīng)濟增長的邊際影響力趨弱 11
3.產(chǎn)業(yè)結構對經(jīng)濟增長的邊際影響力在遞減 11
4.區(qū)域結構對經(jīng)濟增長的正向作用不斷強化 11
（二）政策及建議 11
參考文獻 13
致 謝 14