唐山地區(qū)平改項目的風(fēng)險分析與評價論文

摘  要
平改是我國城市化進(jìn)程快速發(fā)展的必然結(jié)果，是非常值得關(guān)注的社會問題。近年來唐山地區(qū)城市化進(jìn)程不斷加快，其中存在日益嚴(yán)峻的風(fēng)險問題，已成為可能影響城市協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展、功能快速提升和市民生活質(zhì)量進(jìn)一步改善的突顯問題。
本論文在對唐山地區(qū)部分平改項目進(jìn)行實地調(diào)研的基礎(chǔ)上，結(jié)合風(fēng)險管理的基礎(chǔ)理論，對唐山地區(qū)平改項目前期階段的風(fēng)險進(jìn)行了識別，重點對其風(fēng)險進(jìn)行了分析與評價，并采用故障樹的方法對唐山地區(qū)某具體平改項目進(jìn)行的風(fēng)險的分析與評價，且給出結(jié)論。本論文還提出了完善平改工作的相關(guān)思路與建議，既可在理論上深化平改項目中的風(fēng)險問題，又可在實踐中為平改項目提供一條可行的分析路徑。

關(guān)鍵詞: 平改  風(fēng)險  識別  分析與評價

   
    The Risk Analysis and eva luation on the Bungalow Transformation Project in Tangshan Regions

Abstract
The bungalow transformation project is an inevitable result of the rapid development of China's urbanization process，which is a social problem of great concerns. In recent years, Tangshan has been accelerating the urbanization process, in which there are increasingly serious risks. These risks have become outstanding problems that may affect the coordinated development and the rapidly function improvement, and hamper the life quality of the public to improve further.
According to the basic theory of risk management, this thesis identified its risks factors in the early stage, based on the practice investigation of the bungalow transformation project in Tangshan regions. Then this paper mainly analyzed and eva luated its risks, actually applied in a specific bungalow transformation project by using the Fault Tree method, and given the conclusion. The paper also proposed ideas and suggestions to improve other bungalow transformation projects, not only enriched the risk theory in the way, but also provided a feasible path for the bungalow transformation projects in practice.
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Key words: bungalow transformation; risk; identification; analysis and eva luation

目錄
1 引言 1
1.1選題的背景 2
1.2研究目的和意義 2
1.2.1研究目的 2
1.2.2研究意義 3
1.3唐山平改狀況 3
1.4研究設(shè)計 5
1.4.1研究思路 5
1.4.2研究方法 5
2 唐山地區(qū)平改項目風(fēng)險管理的理論基礎(chǔ) 5
2.1風(fēng)險、風(fēng)險管理 5
2.2風(fēng)險的特點與分類 6
2.2.1風(fēng)險的特點 6
2.2.2風(fēng)險的分類 6
2.3風(fēng)險管理的過程 7
2.4平改前期 9
2.4.1前期策劃的過程 9
2.4.2前期策劃應(yīng)注意的問題 11
3 唐山地區(qū)平改項目風(fēng)險的識別 11
3.1平改風(fēng)險識別綜述 11
3.2整體平改風(fēng)險因素 12
4 唐山地區(qū)平改項目的風(fēng)險分析評價 16
4.1分析評價的現(xiàn)狀 16
4.2分析評價的過程 17
4.3分析評價的方法 19
5 唐山地區(qū)平改項目風(fēng)險的實例分析 20
5.1故障樹分析法 20
5.1.1故障樹的定性分析 22
5.1.2故障樹的定量分析 23
5.2實例分析 24
6 結(jié)束語 30
謝辭 32
參考文獻(xiàn) 33