概率統(tǒng)計(jì)在經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)中的應(yīng)用
Application of probability and statistics in Economics


目 錄

引 言 5
第一章 概率統(tǒng)計(jì)的基本概念 6
1.1 概率統(tǒng)計(jì)的基本介紹 6
1.1.1概率統(tǒng)計(jì)的概念 6
1.1.2概率統(tǒng)計(jì)的特點(diǎn) 6
1.1.3 概率統(tǒng)計(jì)的起源和發(fā)展 7
1.2 國(guó)內(nèi)外研究現(xiàn)狀 7
1.3 研究方法和思路 8
第二章 概率統(tǒng)計(jì)的實(shí)際應(yīng)用 8
2.1 概率統(tǒng)計(jì)在經(jīng)濟(jì)管理中的應(yīng)用 8
2.1.1在經(jīng)濟(jì)管理決策中的應(yīng)用 9
2.1.2在經(jīng)濟(jì)損失估計(jì)中的應(yīng)用 10
2.1.3 在求解最大經(jīng)濟(jì)利潤(rùn)問(wèn)題中的應(yīng)用 11
2.1.4 在經(jīng)濟(jì)預(yù)測(cè)中的應(yīng)用 12
2.2 概率論在貨幣銀行學(xué)中的應(yīng)用 15
2.2.1 銀行風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析中的應(yīng)用 16
2.2.2 銀行風(fēng)險(xiǎn)控制中的應(yīng)用 17
2.2.3 概率統(tǒng)計(jì)在證劵投資中的應(yīng)用 20
2.2.4 概率統(tǒng)計(jì)在保險(xiǎn)精算中的應(yīng)用 21
結(jié) 論 22
致 謝 23
參 考 文 獻(xiàn) 23



摘要： 概率論是研究隨機(jī)現(xiàn)象數(shù)學(xué)規(guī)律的學(xué)科。它起源于十七世紀(jì)中葉，當(dāng)?shù)谝粋€(gè)數(shù)學(xué)家首先思考概率論的問(wèn)題，卻是來(lái)源于賭博的一個(gè)問(wèn)題。隨著人類(lèi)社會(huì)實(shí)踐的發(fā)展，人們需要了解的各種不確定現(xiàn)象隱含在大自然的必然規(guī)律，并用數(shù)學(xué)方法研究各種結(jié)果出現(xiàn)的可能性，因此產(chǎn)生了概率論問(wèn)題，并逐漸發(fā)展成為一門(mén)嚴(yán)謹(jǐn)?shù)膶W(xué)科。許多數(shù)學(xué)家對(duì)他進(jìn)行公理化研究。后來(lái)，由于社會(huì)和工程問(wèn)題的需要，概率論不斷發(fā)展，李莫弗，拉普拉斯，高斯，以及這些方面的其他著名的數(shù)學(xué)家也對(duì)此進(jìn)行了研究。現(xiàn)在，概率和統(tǒng)計(jì)的方法滲透到各個(gè)領(lǐng)域，廣泛應(yīng)用于自然科學(xué)，醫(yī)學(xué)，經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)，金融，保險(xiǎn)，甚至人文學(xué)科。
關(guān)鍵詞：概率統(tǒng)計(jì) 經(jīng)濟(jì)管理 貨幣銀行學(xué) 證券投資 保險(xiǎn)精算


Application of probability and statistics in Economics


Abstract： Probability theory is a mathematical rule of random phenomena discipline. It originated in the middle of the seventeenth century, it is from the gambling problems which stimulating mathematicians firstly thinking about probability problem. With the practice of human society, people need to understand various uncertainty inevitable regularity phenomenon implicit, the possibility of the various results of mathematical methods, resulting in probability theory, and gradually developed into a strict discipline. Many mathematicians take axiomatic study on it. Later, with the need of social and technical problems of probability theory,development has been promoted. Li Moffo, Laplasse, Gauss and other famous mathematician studied on this aspect. Now, methods of probability and statistics penetrated into various fields, widely used in natural science, economics, medicine, finance and insurance, and even the humanities and sciences.
Keywords: probability and statistics financial management money and banking securities investment insurance actuarial theory