摘 要
目前我國船舶建造企業(yè)正面臨著由傳統(tǒng)造船模式向現(xiàn)代造船模式過渡的發(fā)展階段。在客戶需求日益?zhèn)€性化和多樣化的環(huán)境下，為了實現(xiàn)以客戶需求為導向的現(xiàn)代造船模式，這就要求造船企業(yè)必須快速滿足不同客戶的不同需求，使其成為一種敏捷組織，相應的供應鏈管理也要實現(xiàn)敏捷化，為現(xiàn)代造船實現(xiàn)有效的資源和信息管理。
運用復雜適應系統(tǒng)理論對造船供應鏈進行研究，有利于揭示其復雜適應性本質，能夠很好地表示實體的主動性和能動性，能較好的描述實體間的交互作用，從而對相關決策提供有力的支持，能夠幫助船舶生產(chǎn)企業(yè)對各種復雜現(xiàn)象取得更好理解以便加以控制，從而以一個嶄新的視角指導對船舶生產(chǎn)敏捷供應鏈的構建與管理。
本文對復雜適應性系統(tǒng)(CAS)理論進行了闡述，分析了造船供應鏈的復雜性與適應性。運用復雜適應性系統(tǒng)理論的精髓——Agent理論，設計了造船敏捷供應鏈管理體系結構的原則，構造了基于多Agent的造船供應鏈管理的結構，并設計了在造船供應鏈中處于核心地位的造船廠的企業(yè)結構模型。在此基礎上，運用Web Service技術，構架了造船供應鏈中各企業(yè)Agent的信息共享框架，提高了造船供應鏈中各節(jié)點企業(yè)的信息共享程度。結合復雜適應性系統(tǒng)(CAS)理論中的內(nèi)容之一——“積木”機制，運用粒子群算法通過編程計算，解決了造船敏捷供應鏈多Agent的任務分配問題。根據(jù)造船敏捷供應鏈的特點，結合復雜適應性系統(tǒng)(CAS)理論中“流”的特性，提出了供應鏈適應性能力評價概念，建立了評估這一能力的一套指標體系，通過調(diào)研取得相關的指標數(shù)據(jù)，最后運用了綜合模糊評價法對江蘇省內(nèi)一家大型造船企業(yè)的造船供應鏈適應性能力作出評價。

關鍵詞：復雜適應性系統(tǒng)；造船敏捷供應鏈；任務分配；適應性能力評價










Abstract
Nowadays, most shipyards of our country are in a process of converting from conventional shipbuilding mode to modern shipbuilding mode. In the environment of the increasing personalized and diverse demand of customers, in order to achieve modern shipbuilding mode, which is customer-oriented. It requires shipping corporation to operate quickly to meet the different needs of customers, making it as an agile organization. Corresponding Supply Chain Management (SCM) has to get agile, making modern shipbuilding to achieve effective resource and information management.
Usage of complex adaptive system theory to study shipbuilding supply chain will help reveal the complex adaptive nature of the entity and can be a good initiative and dynamism that can describe the interaction between the entities, which provide a powerful decision-making on relevant support, to help enterprises of all kinds of vessels to obtain a better understanding of complex phenomena to be controlled, thus a new perspective to guide the ship production and the construction of agile supply chain management.
This paper described the theory of complex adaptive systems and analyzes the shipbuilding supply chain’s complexity and adaptability. Using the essence of complex adaptive systems theory - Agent theory, this paper designed the principle of the shipbuilding agile supply chain’s management structure, made the the structure of shipbuilding agile supply chain based on multi-Agent and constructed the structure model of shipyard which plays a key role in shipbuilding agile supply chain. On the basis above, using Web Service technology, the paper constructed the information sharing framework for all the enterprises in the shipbuilding supply chain, which promoted the information sharing level among the shipbuilding supply chain. Combining the “building block”mechanism, one point of the CAS theory, this paper resolved the task allocation problem of shipbuilding agile supply chain by using the PSO algorithm calculated by prgramming. According to the feature of the shipbuilding agile supply chain, combing the character of “flow” in the CAS theory, the paper put forward the conception of adaptive ability of supply chain, estabulished a system of index to eva luate the adaptive ability, derived the related data of each index from the research in practical. Finally, using comprhensive fuzzy eva luation method, the paper eva luated the adaptive ability of shipbuilding agile supply chain of one large-scale shipbuilding enterprise locates in Jiangsu province.

Keywords: complex adaptive systems; shipbuilding agile supply chain; task allocation; adaptive capacity assessment



目 錄
摘 要 I
Abstract II
第1章 緒論 1
1.1選題背景及意義 1
1.1.1船舶工業(yè)在我國經(jīng)濟中所處地位 1
1.1.2我國造船業(yè)發(fā)展形式和面臨問題 1
1.1.3敏捷供應鏈及其形成背景 2
1.1.4供應鏈理論在船舶工業(yè)領域內(nèi)應用現(xiàn)狀 3
1.2國內(nèi)外研究現(xiàn)狀 3
1.2.1復雜適應性系統(tǒng)(CAS)理論研究綜述 3
1.2.2國內(nèi)外結合復雜適應性系統(tǒng)(CAS)理論研究供應鏈現(xiàn)狀 4
1.2.3造船企業(yè)敏捷供應鏈國內(nèi)外研究現(xiàn)狀 6
1.3研究意義 6
1.4論文內(nèi)容 6
1.4.1論文主要內(nèi)容 7
1.4.2論文創(chuàng)新點 7
1.4.3論文框架結構圖 8
第2章 復雜適應性系統(tǒng)(CAS)相關理論及造船供應鏈研究 9
2.1復雜適應性系統(tǒng)(CAS)特征 9
2.2復雜適應性系統(tǒng)(CAS)理論基本思想 10
2.3復雜適應性系統(tǒng)(CAS)理論基本內(nèi)容 11
2.4造船敏捷供應鏈復雜適應性研究 13
2.4.1造船行業(yè)特性分析 13
2.4.2造船供應鏈的概念和發(fā)展 16
2.4.3造船供應鏈結構及其特征 17
2.4.4造船敏..