如何保持我國(guó)適度外匯儲(chǔ)備規(guī)模
——基于對(duì)Agarwall模型的改進(jìn)及運(yùn)用

全文約5600字 論述翔實(shí)

摘要：近幾年我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備的大幅增長(zhǎng)再次引起了國(guó)內(nèi)外經(jīng)濟(jì)界的廣泛關(guān)注。本文從阿格沃爾模型的推導(dǎo)過程入手，對(duì)運(yùn)用阿格沃爾模型測(cè)算目前我國(guó)適度外匯儲(chǔ)備量存在的局限性加以說明。然后，根據(jù)我國(guó)國(guó)情對(duì)阿格沃爾模型做了改進(jìn)，并運(yùn)用改進(jìn)后的阿格沃爾模型對(duì)近幾年我國(guó)的適度外匯儲(chǔ)備規(guī)模進(jìn)
行了分析。

關(guān)鍵詞:外匯儲(chǔ)備;適度外匯儲(chǔ)備規(guī)模;阿格沃爾模型;國(guó)際收支

部分參考文獻(xiàn)

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[8] 劉莉雅、任若恩. 我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備適度規(guī)模的研究綜述[J]. 經(jīng)濟(jì)問題，2003，（5）
[9] 黃娟、梁志堅(jiān). 我國(guó)適度外匯儲(chǔ)備規(guī)模的再探討[J]. 市場(chǎng)周刊.財(cái)經(jīng)論壇，2003，（6）
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How to keep the Appropriate Scale of Foreign Exchange Reserve of China
—— Based on the Improvement and Application of Agarwall Model


Abstract: In recent years, largely increased foreign exchange reserve of our country once more draws wide attention of economic circles both at home and abroad. This article first analyzes the operational process of Agarwall Model and then shows the imitation of predicting foreign exchange reserve of our country at present by applying this model. Finally, based on Chinese situation, this article improves this model and analyzes the appropriate foreign exchange reserve scale of our country in recent years by applying the newly improved model.
Key words: foreign exchange reserve, appropriate foreign exchange reserve scale, Agarwall Model,international receipt and expenditure