股市博弈論(外文翻譯)

包含中文翻譯和英文原文，內(nèi)容詳細(xì)完整，建議下載參考！

中文： 8300 字
英文： 27000 字符

前言
　　以道氏理論、波浪理論、形態(tài)分析理論等為代表的傳統(tǒng)技術(shù)分析理論，從道瓊斯和艾略特以來基本處于停滯不前的狀態(tài)，雖然內(nèi)容也在不斷豐富，但基本上是在同一層次上變換形式，并沒有什么質(zhì)的突破。作者認(rèn)為，造成這種情況的原因在于，傳統(tǒng)的技術(shù)分析理論都隱含了一個(gè)有問題的理論前提，它們的研究思路本質(zhì)上都是在把股市看做是一個(gè)不受參與者自身行為影響的客觀系統(tǒng)，而沒有考慮到人的操作對(duì)股市的影響。作為一種近似，這樣處理可以給初級(jí)研究帶來方便，也可以產(chǎn)生一批有價(jià)值的成果，但這種不準(zhǔn)確的近似不利于對(duì)市場(chǎng)進(jìn)行深入研究。市場(chǎng)由千千萬萬投資人構(gòu)成，他們相互作用相互影響，形成一個(gè)密切關(guān)聯(lián)相互影響不可分割的整體，每個(gè)人的操作都必然的影響著股市的運(yùn)動(dòng)，特別是當(dāng)資金量比較大的時(shí)候?qū)κ袌?chǎng)的影響更大。
　　在理論上，由于傳統(tǒng)理論的近似比較粗略，不適合對(duì)股市運(yùn)動(dòng)規(guī)律進(jìn)行深入研究，所以，有很多股市現(xiàn)象在傳統(tǒng)理論中只能是知其然不知其所以然，無法給出合理的解釋。如為什么波浪理論的時(shí)間之窗往往形成重要的關(guān)鍵點(diǎn)？為什么一定的K線組合可以作為買賣信號(hào)？這造成傳統(tǒng)技術(shù)分析理論至今仍停留在原始的歸納總結(jié)階段，不能上升到理論高度。這反過來又限制了對(duì)股市深層次規(guī)律的進(jìn)一步概括總結(jié)，造成了技術(shù)分析研究的停滯不前 ......



Stock Market Game Theory


Preface
To Dow theory, wave theory, such as morphological analysis, as represented by the traditional technical analysis theory, from the Dow Jones and Elliott at a standstill since the basic state, although the content has been rich, but essentially the same level the form of the transformation, there is no qualitative breakthrough. The author believes that the reasons for this situation lies in the fact that the traditional theory of technical analysis there are problems implied a theoretical premise, the nature of their research ideas are in the stock market as a participant in their own behavior is not affected objective system, and people do not take into account the impact of operations on the stock market. As an approximation, so that treatment can bring convenience to the primary research, but also can produce a number of valuable results, but this is not conducive to an accurate approximation of an in-depth study on the market. Market constituted by the tens of thousands of investors, the impact of their mutual interaction to form a mutual influence is closely related to an integral whole, and each person is bound to impact operations of the stock market movement, especially when times larger than the funds on the market a greater impact ......