貿(mào)易條件與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的計(jì)量分析（畢業(yè)論文）


摘  要：一國(guó)的貿(mào)易條件反映了該國(guó)在國(guó)際貿(mào)易中的利益分割情況。貿(mào)易條件的波動(dòng)反映了一國(guó)受?chē)?guó)際貿(mào)易沖擊的情況。本文根據(jù)1981—2006年我國(guó)貿(mào)易條件和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的數(shù)據(jù)，運(yùn)用計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)模型，對(duì)我國(guó)貿(mào)易條件與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間的關(guān)系進(jìn)行實(shí)證性研究。實(shí)證分析結(jié)果表明：二者之間存在長(zhǎng)期穩(wěn)定的關(guān)系, 我國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)對(duì)貿(mào)易條件具有一定的影響。

關(guān)鍵詞：貿(mào)易條件 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng) 協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)  格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)

Empirical Analysis the Relations of Terms of Trade and Economic Growth
Economic Management College.International Economy and Trade


Abstract: A country's terms of trade reflects the country's interests in international trade division of the situation. Fluctuations in the terms of trade by one country, reflecting the impact of international trade situation. In this paper, in accordance with the terms of trade in China in 1981-2006 and economic growth data, the use of econometric models, on China's terms of trade and economic growth in the relationship between the empirical research. Empirical analysis shows that: between the two long-term and stable relations, China's economic growth on the terms of trade has a certain impact.
Key words: terms of trade   growth of economy     Cointegration Test    Granger causality test