我國制造業(yè)對外貿(mào)易對環(huán)境影響的實證分析.doc
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我國制造業(yè)對外貿(mào)易對環(huán)境影響的實證分析,?aòa￡o??×?è??ò?ˉ??3ìμ??ó?ì￡??ò1ú???ìòμ??ía?3ò×ó-à′á?í?·é?í??μ???3¤￡?μ?ó?′?í?ê±￡??ò1úμ?éúì??·?3??ò??°ò2·￠éúá??T′óμ?±??ˉ?￡éúì??-???§×÷?aò???D?D?μ??§??￡?ò??-3é?aá?...
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?aòa￡o
??×?è??ò?ˉ??3ìμ??ó?ì￡??ò1ú???ìòμ??ía?3ò×ó-à′á?í?·é?í??μ???3¤￡?μ?ó?′?í?ê±￡??ò1úμ?éúì??·?3??ò??°ò2·￠éúá??T′óμ?±??ˉ?￡éúì??-???§×÷?aò???D?D?μ??§??￡?ò??-3é?aá?μ±??1ú?ê?-???§??μ??D??èèμ?￡??????ìòμ×÷?a?-??μ??÷ì?2?·?￡?????ía?3ò×μ??·?3D§ó|?üê?±?êü1?×￠?￡±????ú1ú?úía1?óú′??êìaμ??D???ù′?é?￡?ò????ìòμ??ía?3ò×oí?·?3μ?1??μ?a?D?????ó￡?2éó??à1?μ?ê±??DòáDêy?Y￡?à?ó?àí??·???oíêμ?¤·????à?áo?μ?·?·¨￡????ò1ú???ìòμ??ía?3ò×μ??·?3D§ó|??DD??á???1é￡?????μ?3??à1??á??￡o???ìòμ??ía?3ò×μ?1??￡D§ó|oí?á11D§ó|???·?3óD????ó°?ì￡?????ê?D§ó|oíí?×êμ?òy???ò?éò????o?·?3μ????ˉ?ù?è?￡
1??ü′ê￡o???ìòμ??ía?3ò×?￠?·?3??è??￠1??￡D§ó|?￠??ê?D§ó|?￠?á11D§ó|
Abstract￡o
With the accelerating process of globalization, our country's manufacturing foreign trade ushers a rapid growth, however, at the same time, the ecological environment has undergone enormous changes compared to the previously. Ecological economics as a new subject has become hotter and hotter in the international economic field , and manufacturing as the main part of economic, the environment effects of foreign trade is also becoming the research focus. On basis of research at home and abroad on this issue and the relation of manufacturing foreign trade and environment for studying , the article establishes economic models and conduct empirical study on environmental effects with the relative data by using the method combining theoretical and empirical analysis, then concludes that: scale and structure effects of foreign trade have a negative impact on the environment ,but the technical effects and introduction investment can slow the rate of deterioration on environment.
Keywords: manufacturing foreign trade, environmental pollution, scale effects, structure effects ,technical effects
μúò??? òy??
1.1 ??ìaμ?±3?°
???ìòμê?ò?1ú?-??μ??§?ù2úòμ￡?ê?ò?1ú?-??ê?è?μ???òaà′?′￡?ê?ò?1ú×?o?êμá|μ???òaì???￡?ê?ò?1ú1ú?ê?o?ùá|μ???òa±￡?¤￡??éò??μ￡?êà???÷1úμ??-???o?ù?÷òaê????ì??ê?μ??o?ù￡???è?21êà?íò?à′￡?óéóúè??ò?ˉ??3ìμ??ó?ì￡??ó???÷1ú?aá?óDD§à?ó?è??ò×ê?′￡?êμ??×ê?′μ?×?ó??ˉ????￡?è??ò?-??????oíêà?????ìòμ????ò??-·￠éúá?é??ìμ?±??ˉ?￡??×??D1ú??ía?a·?oí?óè?êà???3ò××é?ˉ￡?1ú?úêD3???ò?2??a·?￡??D1ú?-??è?μ?á??ùêà????μ?3é?í￡??e?￥3é?aá??°êà??1¤3§?±oíêà??μ??°???ì?DD??± ￡??D1ú???ìòμ3é?aá?êà??μ??1μ?￡?êà???÷1ú1?óú?D1ú???ìòμμ???μ??ó?à???á?￡ó?′?í?ê±￡???×??D1úí??÷?ü±?1ú?ò?-??μ?à′íùoí?D1ú---????×?óé?3ò×??μ??¨á￠￡??aD?D?D?1ú?òò2???D1ú???ìòμ′?à′á?ò??¨μ?ó°?ì￡??ù?ó??2008?ê?ˉ?íè??òμ??à1ú?eèú?￡?úoíoóà′?￡à°?÷è¨?￡?ú?°à?±è???ˉμ′μ?ó°?ì￡??D1ú???ìòμ?y?ú?óêüò?′??°?ù?′óDμ????é￡?ê???′ó?áòéoíá??áμ??ù?a1???á?ê??t???ú??μ?????D?2úòμoí?§?ù2úòμ￡?ê1μ??D1ú???ìòμóDá??÷è·μ?·??ò￡??ùóú?aD??é??￡?±??????D1ú???ìòμμ???×′?￠?êìa?￠·￠?1??DDá?ò?D?·????￡
1.1.1 1ú?ê±3?°
￡¨1￡??D1ú?°ítD2?±??
2001?êμ?ê±oò￡?è?±???è?±??-??D????·?￠????è?D????·?￠??2ú?-D????·μè′ó±¨?í???D1ú???ìòμ??DDá??aà??1μ?±¨μà￡?è??a?D1úò??-3é?aá??°êà??1¤3§?± ￡???oó￡??ú2002?êD?èa?ú?ó?°??ía1??μ??ìa×é?±μ?±¨???a?a??21êà?íè?±?ía???ù±??????·?Dó??μ￡o?°?D1úò??-3é?a×????????ùò?à′150?ê?D′ó?′3???μ?????ê??D1ú?ˉ?±?￡?D1úμ??-??áè?e??è?±??÷????D?ò?à′?à2????Tμ?μ???μ?è·?ì3éá??3??ó°?ì￡?è?±??????-???§?ò￡??-???§2?ê??é±?à?·ò?ìêú￡??ú?ù??μ????D1ú???ìòμμ?áè?eó?????μ???ó|?a?a3????°?D1úítD2???±?·?D??3?￡o???úμ??D1ú￡??yò??aè?μ?ê?í·±?3é?°???ì′ó1ú?± ?￡?ü?êà′￡???פ?D1úμ?è?±?1¤3§oíè?±?×@@§±è?eà′￡?2???3é±?μíá?￡?àí?ˉá|×ê?′·á??￡????ò?ú2ú?·2D′??êμèò?D??êá?·???é??áò??-3?1yá?è?±?±?3§￡??°êà??1¤3§?±---?D1úò??-à′?aDò???￡
????×??D1ú?-??μ?è?ò???′ó?￠?üê?ía×êμ????àò??°′óá???á????àμ??D1úéì?·ó?è?±?μ?êD3?,????3é?±1ú?ú2?ò??°?ü±?Dí?à1ú?ò?Dμ?á??o?ùμ??1á|,?°?D1úítD2???±μè????·o?e,D?3??D1úμ??-??áè?e????????óò?úμ?????1ú?ò?ì3éítD2,??′óμ??D1úoüóD?é?ü???á?ú±?μ???3?°?,?±?óó°?ìμ?μ???μ??t??oí?-??????,????1ú?òó|áao??eà′óèò????1?￡
ò??3′ó?§éì?§?o?o3¤?ü?￥??•?ó???ú2002?ê6??17?úμ???éìòμ?ü?ˉ?·é?D′μà￡o?D1ú?y?ú±??a???ìòμμ?3???′ó1ú?￡?D1ú?úêà?????ìòμ?Dμ?μ???￡?oü?ì?í?á?àμ±óúé3ì?°￠à-???ú1ú?êêˉóíêD3??Dμ?μ????￡??êà???-?????D1ú?a???°êà??1¤3§?±μ?òààμ￡?ò2±?è??á??êà???-??μ?·￠?12úéúítD2?￡
?éò??′3?￡??ùóDμ??aD?1?μ?￡??????òá??D1ú???ìòμ￡?????è??a?D1ú?y?ú3é?°?aêà??1¤3§?± ￡??°?D1ú???ì?±???á?￡o|è??ò?-??￡???????1ú?ò′?à′ítD2￡??a???ò1úμ??-??·￠?1′?à′á?ò??¨μ??1á|oíì????￡
￡¨2￡??D1ú---????×?óé?3ò×??μ??¨á￠
2005?ê4??￡??D1ú1ú?ò?÷?ˉoú??ì?·??ê??à3?￠ó??áoí·??é±?ê±ìá3?￡?μ?2010?ê￡??D1úoí??????±??3ò×??′?μ?2000òú?à?a?￡2005 ?ê7??￡??D1ú?a????×?óé?3ò×?????????3ò×D-òé?·?μ?°?????aê?êμê?￡??D1úoí????μ?7000??2ú?·?ú′ó·ù?μμí1??°?￠?a????ò??°????êD3?×?è?ì??t??ò?2???é?μ??é????￡??ü?ó?33?μ???è???·?êD3?￡??aóDà?óú????1ú?òμ?2ú?·à?′ó???D1úêD3?3??ú￡?ò2óD?úóú?D1ú?óòμò??üμí3é±?′ó???????ú?-2?á??￠á?2??toíéè±??￡2010?ê￡??D1ú?a????×?óé?3ò×???¨3éoó￡????????D1úμ?3??ú??3¤48￡￥￡??D1ú??????μ?3??ú??3¤55￡￥￡???????oí?D1ú1ú?úéú2ú×ü?μμ???3¤1±?×·?±e′?μ?0.9￡￥oí0.3￡￥￡????a?D1úoí????éì??′′?ì?T??éì?úoí1?à??°?°?￡?D1ú---?????3ò×??μ??¨á￠￡??a?D1ú???ìòμ′?à′á??úó?￡??D1ú???ìòμ??ó-à′D?μ?′oìì?￡
￡¨3￡??eèú?￡?úμ?ó°?ì
2007?êμ×óé′?′??￡?úòy·￠μ?è??ò?-???￡?ú??è??ò..
??×?è??ò?ˉ??3ìμ??ó?ì￡??ò1ú???ìòμ??ía?3ò×ó-à′á?í?·é?í??μ???3¤￡?μ?ó?′?í?ê±￡??ò1úμ?éúì??·?3??ò??°ò2·￠éúá??T′óμ?±??ˉ?￡éúì??-???§×÷?aò???D?D?μ??§??￡?ò??-3é?aá?μ±??1ú?ê?-???§??μ??D??èèμ?￡??????ìòμ×÷?a?-??μ??÷ì?2?·?￡?????ía?3ò×μ??·?3D§ó|?üê?±?êü1?×￠?￡±????ú1ú?úía1?óú′??êìaμ??D???ù′?é?￡?ò????ìòμ??ía?3ò×oí?·?3μ?1??μ?a?D?????ó￡?2éó??à1?μ?ê±??DòáDêy?Y￡?à?ó?àí??·???oíêμ?¤·????à?áo?μ?·?·¨￡????ò1ú???ìòμ??ía?3ò×μ??·?3D§ó|??DD??á???1é￡?????μ?3??à1??á??￡o???ìòμ??ía?3ò×μ?1??￡D§ó|oí?á11D§ó|???·?3óD????ó°?ì￡?????ê?D§ó|oíí?×êμ?òy???ò?éò????o?·?3μ????ˉ?ù?è?￡
1??ü′ê￡o???ìòμ??ía?3ò×?￠?·?3??è??￠1??￡D§ó|?￠??ê?D§ó|?￠?á11D§ó|
Abstract￡o
With the accelerating process of globalization, our country's manufacturing foreign trade ushers a rapid growth, however, at the same time, the ecological environment has undergone enormous changes compared to the previously. Ecological economics as a new subject has become hotter and hotter in the international economic field , and manufacturing as the main part of economic, the environment effects of foreign trade is also becoming the research focus. On basis of research at home and abroad on this issue and the relation of manufacturing foreign trade and environment for studying , the article establishes economic models and conduct empirical study on environmental effects with the relative data by using the method combining theoretical and empirical analysis, then concludes that: scale and structure effects of foreign trade have a negative impact on the environment ,but the technical effects and introduction investment can slow the rate of deterioration on environment.
Keywords: manufacturing foreign trade, environmental pollution, scale effects, structure effects ,technical effects
μúò??? òy??
1.1 ??ìaμ?±3?°
???ìòμê?ò?1ú?-??μ??§?ù2úòμ￡?ê?ò?1ú?-??ê?è?μ???òaà′?′￡?ê?ò?1ú×?o?êμá|μ???òaì???￡?ê?ò?1ú1ú?ê?o?ùá|μ???òa±￡?¤￡??éò??μ￡?êà???÷1úμ??-???o?ù?÷òaê????ì??ê?μ??o?ù￡???è?21êà?íò?à′￡?óéóúè??ò?ˉ??3ìμ??ó?ì￡??ó???÷1ú?aá?óDD§à?ó?è??ò×ê?′￡?êμ??×ê?′μ?×?ó??ˉ????￡?è??ò?-??????oíêà?????ìòμ????ò??-·￠éúá?é??ìμ?±??ˉ?￡??×??D1ú??ía?a·?oí?óè?êà???3ò××é?ˉ￡?1ú?úêD3???ò?2??a·?￡??D1ú?-??è?μ?á??ùêà????μ?3é?í￡??e?￥3é?aá??°êà??1¤3§?±oíêà??μ??°???ì?DD??± ￡??D1ú???ìòμ3é?aá?êà??μ??1μ?￡?êà???÷1ú1?óú?D1ú???ìòμμ???μ??ó?à???á?￡ó?′?í?ê±￡???×??D1úí??÷?ü±?1ú?ò?-??μ?à′íùoí?D1ú---????×?óé?3ò×??μ??¨á￠￡??aD?D?D?1ú?òò2???D1ú???ìòμ′?à′á?ò??¨μ?ó°?ì￡??ù?ó??2008?ê?ˉ?íè??òμ??à1ú?eèú?￡?úoíoóà′?￡à°?÷è¨?￡?ú?°à?±è???ˉμ′μ?ó°?ì￡??D1ú???ìòμ?y?ú?óêüò?′??°?ù?′óDμ????é￡?ê???′ó?áòéoíá??áμ??ù?a1???á?ê??t???ú??μ?????D?2úòμoí?§?ù2úòμ￡?ê1μ??D1ú???ìòμóDá??÷è·μ?·??ò￡??ùóú?aD??é??￡?±??????D1ú???ìòμμ???×′?￠?êìa?￠·￠?1??DDá?ò?D?·????￡
1.1.1 1ú?ê±3?°
￡¨1￡??D1ú?°ítD2?±??
2001?êμ?ê±oò￡?è?±???è?±??-??D????·?￠????è?D????·?￠??2ú?-D????·μè′ó±¨?í???D1ú???ìòμ??DDá??aà??1μ?±¨μà￡?è??a?D1úò??-3é?aá??°êà??1¤3§?± ￡???oó￡??ú2002?êD?èa?ú?ó?°??ía1??μ??ìa×é?±μ?±¨???a?a??21êà?íè?±?ía???ù±??????·?Dó??μ￡o?°?D1úò??-3é?a×????????ùò?à′150?ê?D′ó?′3???μ?????ê??D1ú?ˉ?±?￡?D1úμ??-??áè?e??è?±??÷????D?ò?à′?à2????Tμ?μ???μ?è·?ì3éá??3??ó°?ì￡?è?±??????-???§?ò￡??-???§2?ê??é±?à?·ò?ìêú￡??ú?ù??μ????D1ú???ìòμμ?áè?eó?????μ???ó|?a?a3????°?D1úítD2???±?·?D??3?￡o???úμ??D1ú￡??yò??aè?μ?ê?í·±?3é?°???ì′ó1ú?± ?￡?ü?êà′￡???פ?D1úμ?è?±?1¤3§oíè?±?×@@§±è?eà′￡?2???3é±?μíá?￡?àí?ˉá|×ê?′·á??￡????ò?ú2ú?·2D′??êμèò?D??êá?·???é??áò??-3?1yá?è?±?±?3§￡??°êà??1¤3§?±---?D1úò??-à′?aDò???￡
????×??D1ú?-??μ?è?ò???′ó?￠?üê?ía×êμ????àò??°′óá???á????àμ??D1úéì?·ó?è?±?μ?êD3?,????3é?±1ú?ú2?ò??°?ü±?Dí?à1ú?ò?Dμ?á??o?ùμ??1á|,?°?D1úítD2???±μè????·o?e,D?3??D1úμ??-??áè?e????????óò?úμ?????1ú?ò?ì3éítD2,??′óμ??D1úoüóD?é?ü???á?ú±?μ???3?°?,?±?óó°?ìμ?μ???μ??t??oí?-??????,????1ú?òó|áao??eà′óèò????1?￡
ò??3′ó?§éì?§?o?o3¤?ü?￥??•?ó???ú2002?ê6??17?úμ???éìòμ?ü?ˉ?·é?D′μà￡o?D1ú?y?ú±??a???ìòμμ?3???′ó1ú?￡?D1ú?úêà?????ìòμ?Dμ?μ???￡?oü?ì?í?á?àμ±óúé3ì?°￠à-???ú1ú?êêˉóíêD3??Dμ?μ????￡??êà???-?????D1ú?a???°êà??1¤3§?±μ?òààμ￡?ò2±?è??á??êà???-??μ?·￠?12úéúítD2?￡
?éò??′3?￡??ùóDμ??aD?1?μ?￡??????òá??D1ú???ìòμ￡?????è??a?D1ú?y?ú3é?°?aêà??1¤3§?± ￡??°?D1ú???ì?±???á?￡o|è??ò?-??￡???????1ú?ò′?à′ítD2￡??a???ò1úμ??-??·￠?1′?à′á?ò??¨μ??1á|oíì????￡
￡¨2￡??D1ú---????×?óé?3ò×??μ??¨á￠
2005?ê4??￡??D1ú1ú?ò?÷?ˉoú??ì?·??ê??à3?￠ó??áoí·??é±?ê±ìá3?￡?μ?2010?ê￡??D1úoí??????±??3ò×??′?μ?2000òú?à?a?￡2005 ?ê7??￡??D1ú?a????×?óé?3ò×?????????3ò×D-òé?·?μ?°?????aê?êμê?￡??D1úoí????μ?7000??2ú?·?ú′ó·ù?μμí1??°?￠?a????ò??°????êD3?×?è?ì??t??ò?2???é?μ??é????￡??ü?ó?33?μ???è???·?êD3?￡??aóDà?óú????1ú?òμ?2ú?·à?′ó???D1úêD3?3??ú￡?ò2óD?úóú?D1ú?óòμò??üμí3é±?′ó???????ú?-2?á??￠á?2??toíéè±??￡2010?ê￡??D1ú?a????×?óé?3ò×???¨3éoó￡????????D1úμ?3??ú??3¤48￡￥￡??D1ú??????μ?3??ú??3¤55￡￥￡???????oí?D1ú1ú?úéú2ú×ü?μμ???3¤1±?×·?±e′?μ?0.9￡￥oí0.3￡￥￡????a?D1úoí????éì??′′?ì?T??éì?úoí1?à??°?°?￡?D1ú---?????3ò×??μ??¨á￠￡??a?D1ú???ìòμ′?à′á??úó?￡??D1ú???ìòμ??ó-à′D?μ?′oìì?￡
￡¨3￡??eèú?￡?úμ?ó°?ì
2007?êμ×óé′?′??￡?úòy·￠μ?è??ò?-???￡?ú??è??ò..
