摘 要
造船企業(yè)是造船供應(yīng)鏈的核心，如何提高供應(yīng)鏈管理水平已成為各造船企業(yè)的工作重心，為了在競(jìng)爭(zhēng)激烈的國(guó)際船舶市場(chǎng)中贏得更多的市場(chǎng)份額，船企越發(fā)重視造船供應(yīng)鏈在船舶建造過程中的作用。造船供應(yīng)鏈?zhǔn)且源翱傃b企業(yè)為核心，由原材料企業(yè)、船舶配套設(shè)備企業(yè)以及船研所、船級(jí)社構(gòu)成的一條特殊供應(yīng)鏈，與普通制造業(yè)供應(yīng)鏈相比有顯著的特征。為了保證造船業(yè)的穩(wěn)定持續(xù)發(fā)展，有必要對(duì)造船供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行有效的識(shí)別、分析、評(píng)價(jià)及預(yù)防與控制。
本文首先對(duì)造船供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)及供應(yīng)鏈運(yùn)作模型相關(guān)理論進(jìn)行梳理和總結(jié)，同時(shí)結(jié)合造船供應(yīng)鏈自身的特點(diǎn)以及SCOR模型的基本流程，從計(jì)劃流程、采購(gòu)流程、建造流程以及交船流程四個(gè)階段對(duì)造船供應(yīng)鏈相關(guān)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素進(jìn)行討論，依據(jù)定性分析并結(jié)合問卷調(diào)查和資料整理的方式，對(duì)造船供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素進(jìn)行了識(shí)別，由分析結(jié)果建立了造船供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)指標(biāo)體系，從外部環(huán)境、生產(chǎn)計(jì)劃、采購(gòu)供應(yīng)、生產(chǎn)建造、船舶交付、合作關(guān)系六個(gè)方面研究造船供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。最后采用層次分析法對(duì)造船供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素的6個(gè)一級(jí)指標(biāo)和28個(gè)二級(jí)指標(biāo)的權(quán)重進(jìn)行了確認(rèn)，并通過模糊綜合理論建立了造船供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)價(jià)模型。
在實(shí)證研究部分，以D造船與R造船供應(yīng)鏈為研究對(duì)象，識(shí)別評(píng)價(jià)了造船供應(yīng)鏈的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)狀況，并對(duì)評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果進(jìn)行了分析；最后構(gòu)建了造船供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的預(yù)防與控制框架體系，并提出了應(yīng)對(duì)造船供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的相關(guān)預(yù)防控制措施。
通過本文研究，我們不僅對(duì)造船供應(yīng)鏈所涉及的相關(guān)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素有了深刻的認(rèn)識(shí)，還可以利用研究結(jié)果來指導(dǎo)造船供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理，使造船供應(yīng)鏈發(fā)揮更大的作用。
關(guān)鍵詞：造船供應(yīng)鏈；SCOR；風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)價(jià)；F-AHP綜合評(píng)估


Abstract
Shipbuilding enterprises are the core of shipbuilding supply chain, how to improve supply chain management is critical in the 21st century enterprise and business competition, but also the performance of the supply chain and supply chain competition, it is core enterprise supply chain management level of competition, shipbuilding supply chain to promote the development of the shipbuilding industry. In order to better compete in the market, more and more positive manufacturing core shipbuilding supply chain supply chain transformation. This supply chain is the core of shipbuilding enterprises to build from, by the enterprise into full play its advantages with the product, technology and management advantages to manage the organization of the chain. With members involved in the chain, more and more enterprises, the increasing complexity of the chain structure, coupled with inter-enterprise cross-regional collaboration and enterprise management, the chain risk has become very prominent. To ensure safe and efficient operation of the chain, it is necessary to effectively manage their risk.
This article first shipbuilding supply chain risk and supply chain model to sort out and summarize the relevant theory, combined with the characteristics of the shipbuilding supply chain and the SCOR model itself the basic processes, from planning processes, procurement processes, construction processes, and ship delivery process in four stages shipbuilding supply chain related to the risk factors discussed in conjunction with qualitative analysis based on survey and data compilation methods, the shipbuilding supply chain risk factors were identified by the results of the analysis to establish a shipbuilding supply chain risk index system, from the external environment, production planning, procurement and supply, production build, ship delivery, six of shipbuilding cooperation between supply chain risk. Finally, using the analytic hierarchy shipbuilding supply chain risk factors for the six-level indicators and 28 secondary indicators of the weight was confirmed by fuzzy comprehensive theory of the shipbuilding supply chain risk assessment model.
In the empirical research part of the D and R shipbuilding shipbuilding supply chain for the study, eva luation of the shipbuilding supply chain, identify the risk profile, and eva luate the results of the analysis; finally build a shipbuilding supply chain risk prevention and control framework, and made a deal with supply chain risks related to shipbuilding prevention and control measures.
Through this study, we not only on shipbuilding supply chain risk management has a deep understanding of the results of empirical analysis can also be used to guide the shipbuilding supply chain operations.

Keywords: Shipbuilding supply chain；SCOR ；Risk Assessment；Fuzzy -AHP
目 錄
摘 要 I
Abstract II
目 錄 I
Contents I
第1章 緒論 1
1.1研究背景 1
1.1.1 研究背景 1
1.1.2 問題的提出 2
1.2 國(guó)內(nèi)外研究現(xiàn)狀 2
1.2.1 供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)國(guó)內(nèi)外研究現(xiàn)狀 2
1.2.2 造船業(yè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)國(guó)內(nèi)外研究現(xiàn)狀 5
1.2.3 造船供應(yīng)鏈及其風(fēng)險(xiǎn)國(guó)內(nèi)外研究現(xiàn)狀 7
1.3研究目的與方法 8
1.3.1 研究目的 8
1.3.2 研究方法 9
1.4 論文內(nèi)容與創(chuàng)新點(diǎn) 9
1.4.1 研究?jī)?nèi)容 9
1.4.2 創(chuàng)新點(diǎn) 11
1.5 研究的意義 11
第2章 相關(guān)理論綜述 12
2.1 造船供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn) 12
2.1.1 造船供應(yīng)鏈及其特點(diǎn) 12
2.1.2 造船供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)概念 12
2.1.3 供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)與企業(yè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的區(qū)別 12
2.2 供應(yīng)鏈SCOR模型 13
2.2.1 SCOR模型結(jié)構(gòu)框架 14
2.2.2 SCOR模型流程定義 15
2.2.3 SCOR模型測(cè)評(píng)指標(biāo) 16
2.2.4 SCOR模型具體實(shí)施 17
2.3本章小結(jié) 18
第3章 基于SCOR模型..